I am an Associate Research Professor at the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) in Dublin. My main research area is labour economics, with a focus on minimum wages, skills mismatch, wage inequality and the impact of technological change on the labour market. My research has been published in journals such as the Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Economica, British Journal of Industrial Relations, Public Choice and Oxford Economic Papers. I am also an adjunct professor at Trinity College Dublin, where I teach on the MSc in Economic Policy.
Publications
Redmond, P., Staffa, E. and McGuinness, S. 2025. “A comparison of approaches for identifying minimum wage workers: Direct question versus administrative earnings data.” British Journal of Industrial Relations, forthcoming.
Redmond, P., McGuinness, S. and Kelly, E. 2025. “Labour market dynamics of minimum wage workers.” Applied Economics, forthcoming.
Redmond, P., Munley, V. and Garcia-Rodriguez, A. 2025. “Determinants of incumbent electoral success: Evidence from 30 years of Irish elections.” The Economic and Social Review, forthcoming.
Redmond, P. and McGuinness, S. 2025. “The impact of a minimum wage increase on hours worked: Heterogeneous effects by gender and sector.” Economica, 92 (365), 84-106.
Devlin, A., Whelan, A., McGuinness, S. and Redmond, P. “COVID-19 employment disruption and area-level deprivation.” Regional Studies, Regional Science, 12 (1), 386-410.
Munley, V., Garcia-Rodriguez, A. and Redmond P. 2023. “The impact of voter turnout on referendum outcomes: Evidence from Ireland.” Public Choice, 194 (3), 369-393.
Redmond, P., McGuinness, S. and Keane, C. 2023. “The impact of one parent family payment reforms on the labour market outcomes of lone parents.” Oxford Economic Papers, 75 (2), 346-370.
McGuinness, S., Pouliakas, K. and Redmond, P. 2023. “Skills-displacing technological change and its impact on jobs: Challenging technological alarmism?” Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 32 (3), 370-392.
Redmond, P. and McFadden, C. 2023. “Young People not in Employment, Education or Training (NEET): Concepts, Consequences and Policy Approaches.” The Economic and Social Review, 54 (4), 285-327.
Redmond, P. and McGuinness, S. 2022. “Consumption in retirement: Heterogeneous effects by household type and gender.” Journal of Population Ageing, 15, 473-491.
Barrett, M., Doorley, K., Redmond, P. and Roantree, B. 2022. “How has the gender earnings gap in Ireland changed in thirty years?” Social Sciences, 11 (8), 1-21.
Redmond, P., Doorley, K. and McGuinness, S. 2021. “The impact of a minimum wage change on the distribution of wages and household income.” Oxford Economic Papers, 73 (3), 1034-1056.
Redmond, P. and McGuinness, S. 2020. “Explaining the gender gap in job satisfaction.” Applied Economics Letters, 21 (17), 1415-1418.
McGuinness, S., Redmond, P. and Delaney, J. 2020. “Minimum wage non-compliance.” Applied Economics Letters, 27 (20), 1663-1666.
Garcia Rodriguez, A. and Redmond, P. 2020. “Rainfall, population density and voter turnout.” Electoral Studies, Vol. 64, April 2020.
Delaney, J., McGuinness, S., Pouliakas, K. and Redmond, P. 2020. “Educational expansion and overeducation of young graduates: A comparative analysis of 30 European countries.” Oxford Review of Education, 46 (1), 10-29.
Bergin, A., Kelly, E. and Redmond, P. 2020. “The labor market in Ireland, 2000-2018.” IZA World of Labor.
Redmond, P., McGuinness, S. 2019. The gender wage gap in Europe: Job preferences, gender convergence and distributional effects. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 81 (3), 564-587.
McGuinness, S., Redmond, P. 2019. The impact of a minimum wage increase on temporary contract workers. Fiscal Studies, 40 (2), 149-173.
McGuinness, S., Pouliakas, K., Redmond, P., 2018. Skills mismatch: Concepts, measurement and policy approaches. Journal of Economic Surveys, 32 (4), 985-1015.
Redmond, P. 2017. Incumbent-challenger and open-seat elections in a spatial model of political competition. Public Choice, 170 (1-2), 79-97.
Redmond, P., Regan, J., 2015. Incumbency advantage in a proportional electoral system: a regression discontinuity analysis of Irish elections. European Journal of Political Economy, 38, 244-256.
Pastine, I., Pastine, T., Redmond, P., 2015. Incumbent-quality advantage and counterfactual electoral stagnation in the U.S. Senate. Politics, 35 (1), 32-45.
Policy Reports
Redmond Paul, Seamus McGuinness and Bertrand Maitre. 2018. “An examination of the labour market transitions of minimum wage workers.” Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin.
Seamus McGuinness and Paul Redmond. 2018. “Estimating the effect of an increase in the minimum wage on hours worked and employment in Ireland.” Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin.
Maitre, Bertrand, Seamus McGuinness and Paul Redmond. 2017. “A study of minimum wage employment in Ireland: The role of worker, household and job characteristics.” Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin.
McGuinness, Seamus, Konstantinos Pouliakas and Paul Redmond. 2017. “How useful is the concept of skills mismatch?” International Labour Organisation, Employment Policy Department. ILO, Geneva.
Maitre, Bertrand, Seamus McGuinness and Paul Redmond. 2016. “A note on the national minimum wage.” Published as Chapter 6 of Recommendations for the National Minimum Wage 2016, Low Pay Commission, Dublin, Ireland.
Maitre, B., McGuinness, S., Redmond, P., 2016. A note on the national minimum wage. Published as Chapter 6 of Recommendations for the National Minimum Wage 2016, Low Pay Commission, Dublin, Ireland.
Paul Redmond 